Economic disasters and inequality: a note

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract This paper analyzes the dynamic effects of economic disasters, captured by cumulative decline in output at least 10% over 1 or more years, on disposable income inequality a sample 99 countries annual period 1960–2017. Based impulse response functions derived from robust local projections method, we find that disasters increase 4%, with overall effect being statistically significant and highly persistent 20 years following shock. When repeat analysis categorizing based groups regions, strongest are felt high-income (8%), Europe, Central Asia North America (16%) taken together, as primarily driven ex-socialist economies. Though lesser magnitude, increases also observed for low-, upper-middle-income economies, regions Latin Caribbean, Middle East Africa (MENA) South Asia, to some extent Sub-Saharan Africa. Our findings have important policy implications. suggest avoidance crises is paramount importance ensure sustainability welfare state, which turn would allow sound redistributive policies reduce inequality, can help indirectly reducing negative impact rare asset markets. In other words, our results both financial

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Economic change and restructuring

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['1574-0277', '1573-9414']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-023-09543-3